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United States
3 Nov · House and Senate midterms
● Global significance
Facts
Control of Congress can change the president’s domestic room for action and global policy on security, trade, climate and alliances.
Sources
- The Center Square (via Yahoo News): https://www.yahoo.com/news/articles/u-house-contests-decide-control-140000554.html
- The New York Times — 2026 Midterm Elections: https://www.nytimes.com/news-event/2026-midterm-elections
- Wikipedia: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2026_United_States_elections
Forecasts or Results
- Cook Political Report · 2026-09-03House: 17 of 66 competitive races rated pure toss-up. Senate: Republicans favored to hold majority; 2 Democratic-held toss-ups (Georgia, Michigan)Expert rating · Source
- Polymarket · 2026-09-03~50% probability of a Democratic sweep of both chambersPrediction market · Source
- Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver) · 2026-09-03FLIPR1 model — regularly updated House/Senate/Governors forecastAcademic model · Source
Election observation
No observer assessment recorded yet.
Election history
Past elections, turnout and electoral system details for United States, from IFES ElectionGuide.




