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United States

3 Nov · House and Senate midterms
● Global significance
United States is a federal country — see state breakdown →

Control of Congress can change the president’s domestic room for action and global policy on security, trade, climate and alliances.

Date status: Confirmed
Category: National (direct)
A country's own general, parliamentary or presidential election.
Direct vote — citizens vote directly for this position.
Last checked: 2026-09-01
  • Cook Political Report · 2026-09-03
    House: 17 of 66 competitive races rated pure toss-up. Senate: Republicans favored to hold majority; 2 Democratic-held toss-ups (Georgia, Michigan)
    Expert rating · Source
  • Polymarket · 2026-09-03
    ~50% probability of a Democratic sweep of both chambers
    Prediction market · Source
  • Silver Bulletin (Nate Silver) · 2026-09-03
    FLIPR1 model — regularly updated House/Senate/Governors forecast
    Academic model · Source

No observer assessment recorded yet.

Past elections, turnout and electoral system details for United States, from IFES ElectionGuide.